I thought I'd work out NZTC Strength of Schedule to see who got to walk over broken glass and who got the bunny runs.
To do this I worked out the average points score per game of opposing army - above 10 = harder and below 10 = easier.
You can see that Shirts Off, Pants Off and NATUC had significantly harder draws than the other teams in the competition. Conversely Pete's Potluck got the mother of all bunny runs in securing their 3rd Place finish.
When taken over 24 games Shirts and Pants Off were almost 40 points worse off in relation to Pete's Potluck.
Posted with Blogsy
Very interesting, can you post more analysis of individual game results? I had thought we would be pipped by submariners going up against Dilfs in last round.
ReplyDeleteI've asked Tim to scan me the scoresheets so I can have a play. Obviously a lot of the analysis needs to be taken with a grain of salt as the statistical sample is small...but it can give a snapshot
DeleteCurrently putting data into spreadsheet.
DeleteI managed to catch Wargamers Ebola from NZTC over the weekend which has slowed me down...
Yes it seems Pete's Potluck managed to submarine perfectly to their third spot. Taking on the teams that finished 6th, 7th, 9th, 10th, 11th and 12th over the weekend.
ReplyDeleteand Shirts Off took on the teams finishing 1st, 2nd, 4th, 6th, 7th and 8th for their 5th place finish.
DeleteWe ended up playing 1st, 2nd, 5th, 7th, 8th and 9th for 4th place.
DeleteCool analysis Pete, definitely keen to see some more of the breakdowns...
ReplyDeletePete's Pot Luck first round shellacking was all part of the plan, as you can see above...
ReplyDeleteThis is actually known, in Waikato Gaming Circles, as the 'Brian Smith' method.
DeleteWeapon X! Weapon X!
DeleteWell, Team Nice (but Dim) managed to play all four of the teams who our matchup analysis predicted would probably beat us (Buckets, Pants, Shirts and DILFS).
ReplyDeleteAnd they did, especially the DILFs who spanked us like a drunken stepfather.
Good to see our matchup analysis was spot on.